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US Stocks Lead Global Capital Return, Dollar Assets Continue to Be Favored

Institution
Goldman Sachs
Date
20260605
Authors
Lexi Kanter, Michael Cahill, Karen Reichgott Fishman, Stuart Jenkins
Company
-
Ticker
-
Industry
Consumer Electronics, consumer goods, Specialty Industrial Machinery, Macro
Rating
MixedMedium confidenceShort-termThe report indicates that global capital flows show significant structural divergence, with US stocks and US dollar assets continuing to attract capital, while other developed markets and some emerging markets (such as mainland China, South Korea) face outflow pressures.
AuthorsLexi Kanter, Michael Cahill, Karen Reichgott Fishman, Stuart Jenkins
CoverageChina、United States、Japan、South Korea、Asia-Pacific、Europe、Other
Research firm divisions/subsidiariesGoldman Sachs Global Investment Research(Division/Team)、Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC(Subsidiary/Legal Entity)

AI summary card

US Stocks Lead Global Capital Return, Dollar Assets Continue to Be Favored

In the week ending June 3, both global equity and bond funds recorded net inflows, with US equity funds continuing to attract capital, while some developed markets and emerging markets (such as China and South Korea) faced capital outflows.

Capital FlowsUS StocksUS DollarFixed IncomeEmerging MarketsMacro Strategy
  • Global equity funds' weekly net inflows turned positive to $23 billion, with US equity funds continuing to receive strong demand.
  • Other developed markets generally saw net outflows, with divergence within emerging markets: outflows from China and South Korea, inflows to Taiwan.
  • At the industry level, the industrial sector attracted the most capital, while financial and consumer goods sectors led in outflows.
  • Fixed income funds continued to see broad inflows, with short-duration and inflation-protected bonds being favored.
  • Among cross-border foreign exchange flows, the US dollar showed the strongest net demand, while the yuan ranked first in net outflow scale.

Report interpretation

Overview

This weekly capital flow report released by Goldman Sachs tracks the movements of global mutual funds and related investment products for the week ending June 3, 2026. The core conclusion of the report is that both global equity and fixed income funds recorded positive capital inflows, with the US market becoming the absolute main driver of global equity fund net inflows. Meanwhile, capital showed significant structural differentiation characteristics across different regions, industries, and asset classes.

Core views

Equity Market: Global equity funds turned positive again after experiencing net outflows in the previous week, with weekly net inflows reaching $23 billion. Capital was highly concentrated in the US market, while other developed markets (DM) generally faced net outflow pressure. Within emerging markets (EM), global emerging market benchmark funds, mainland China equity funds, and South Korean equity funds were the main drags on net outflows, with only Taiwan equity funds recording net inflows. Sector Allocation: From the perspective of sector capital flows, industrial sector funds attracted the largest net inflows. Conversely, financial sector and consumer goods sector funds experienced the most significant net outflows, reflecting that investors currently prefer areas related to economic cycle recovery or capital expenditure, while maintaining a cautious stance on traditional financial and consumer sectors. Fixed Income and Money Markets: Global fixed income funds continued to maintain stable capital inflows. Structurally, investors clearly favored short-duration bond funds and inflation-protected bond funds, while long-duration funds saw net outflows. Additionally, emerging market local currency and hard currency bond funds both received capital favor. Money market fund assets expanded significantly by $122 billion in a single week, indicating that some capital still maintains high liquidity demand. Foreign Exchange Market: Cross-border foreign exchange capital flows were generally positive. Among them, the US dollar showed the strongest net demand, while the yuan recorded the largest scale of net outflows. Notably, the British pound's capital inflow performance has continued to be good this year, mainly benefiting from extraordinary net inflows brought by UK cross-border M&A activities, which to some extent offset its domestic political and fiscal risks.

Analysis framework

Institutions primarily analyze through high-frequency capital flow data, adopting a top-down macro capital market monitoring framework. First, horizontally comparing the capital-absorbing capacity of the two basic asset classes of stocks and fixed income to judge the overall level of global risk appetite. Second, within equity assets, drilling down along the two main lines of 'developed markets vs. emerging markets' and 'specific industry sectors' to characterize global capital's allocation preferences and rotation directions across regions and industrial chains. Finally, combining cross-border foreign exchange capital flows and changes in money market fund sizes to cross-verify the relative strength of various currencies and the underlying liquidity abundance in the market.

Methodology notes

  • Event Game and Behavioral FinanceCapital Flow/Chip Analysis

    Capital Flow Analysis

    Institutions directly observe market's actual buying and selling behaviors by tracking subscription and redemption data of investment products such as mutual funds. This analytical paradigm helps penetrate price surfaces to identify short-term changes in global capital risk appetite, regional allocation shifts, and industry rotation trends, providing an important perspective for judging market micro-liquidity.

Key data

  • Global Equity Funds Weekly Net Inflow$23 billionSignificantly turned positive from the previous week's -$7 billion
  • Money Market Fund Asset Growth$122 billionSingle-week expansion, showing high liquidity demand
  • Global Fixed Income Funds Weekly Net InflowApproximately $40.4 billionContinuing the trend of broad inflows

Impact & implications

The data in the report indicates that global capital is concentrating in US assets, reflecting that in the current macro environment, the US market is still regarded as a safe haven with strong certainty or a growth engine. For non-US markets, continuous capital outflows may bring short-term liquidity pressures. Additionally, capital's tilt toward short-duration and inflation-protected assets in the fixed income segment suggests that the market still maintains a defensive mentality against long-term interest rate volatility or inflation persistence. The resilience shown by the UK market due to M&A capital inflows also provides a new perspective for evaluating the risk resistance capabilities of specific regional assets.

Zhejiang ICP No. 2022035445-5
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