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Global fund flows continue into equities, bonds, and FX, while energy fund flows retreat from elevated levels

Institution
Goldman Sachs
Date
2026-05-18
Authors
Lexi Kanter
Company
-
Ticker
-
Industry
Energy & Resources / Global Fund Flows
Rating
-
NeutralLow confidenceThe report highlights positive global equity, fixed income, money market, and FX flows, but notes sharp dispersion across regions and sectors, including energy fund outflows after prior strong inflows and persistent outflows from Mainland China equity funds.
AuthorsLexi Kanter
CoverageEmerging Markets、Other
Asset classesEquity、Fixed Income、FX
Business segmentsGlobal equity funds、Developed market equity funds、Emerging market equity funds、Fixed income funds、Money market funds、FX flows、Energy sector funds
Research firm divisions/subsidiariesGoldman Sachs(Other)、Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC(Other)

AI summary card

Global fund flows continue into equities, bonds, and FX, while energy fund flows retreat from elevated levels

For the week ended May 13, global equity funds, fixed income funds, money market funds, and FX flows were broadly positive, but regional and sector divergence remained pronounced; energy funds moved into a modest outflow after strong inflows the prior week.

This report is a thematic and fund-flow weekly update and does not provide stock ratings, target prices, or expected upside.
Weekly fund flowsEnergy fundsGlobal equitiesFixed incomeFX flowsEmerging-market divergence
  • Global equity funds recorded net inflows of about USD 20.458bn that week, with four-week cumulative net inflows of about USD 71.958bn; developed-market equity funds were the main support.
  • Global fixed income funds recorded net inflows of about USD 28.55bn that week, with four-week cumulative net inflows of about USD 92.008bn; demand was strong for broad bonds, government bonds, and short-duration bonds.
  • Energy funds recorded a weekly net outflow of about USD 500m, versus net inflows of about USD 4bn the prior week; the chart shows energy flows rose sharply in early 2026 and then clearly cooled.
  • Emerging-market equity funds recorded four-week cumulative net outflows of about USD 53.511bn, of which Mainland China equity funds accounted for about USD 52.113bn, making them the main drag.
  • FX flows totaled about USD 70.136bn over four weeks and about USD 25.746bn in the latest week, with G10 currencies, especially the U.S. dollar, contributing prominently.

Report interpretation

Overview

This report tracks global fund flows for the week ended May 13, 2026. Overall, flows into equities, fixed income, money markets, and FX remained positive, indicating that risk appetite is still supported; however, flows diverged meaningfully across regions, sectors, and asset classes. On the equity side, developed markets, the United States, and Japan were supported by demand, while emerging-market equities were pressured by outflows from Mainland China, South Korea, and others. Fixed income flows were more resilient, with solid demand for broad bonds, government bonds, short-duration bonds, and inflation-protected securities. Energy fund flows turned into outflows after a prior surge in inflows, drawing attention to the relationship with the S&P GSCI.

Core views

The core view is as follows: first, global equity fund net inflows have recovered, with developed markets clearly outperforming emerging markets; second, fixed income fund flows are steadier, and both local-currency and hard-currency emerging-market bonds saw net inflows; third, at the sector level, technology and infrastructure flows were strong, consumer goods saw the most pronounced outflows, and energy fund flows cooled from prior strength; fourth, FX flows were broadly positive, led by G10 and dollar-related inflows; fifth, at the regional level, some markets such as South Korea and Brazil showed stronger flow momentum, while Mainland China equity funds still faced significant outflow pressure.

Analysis framework

The report uses weekly fund flows, four-week cumulative flows, four-week moving averages, % of AUM, and z-scores to compare flow strength across asset classes, regions, sectors, and currencies, and it compares energy fund flows with the performance of commodity indices such as the S&P GSCI.

Methodology notes

  • Fund flow trackingGlobal fund flow analysis

    Track net fund subscriptions/redemptions by asset class, region, and sector

    The report breaks down flows into equities, fixed income, money market, and FX-related flows, and uses weekly and four-week cumulative values to observe short-term direction.

  • Relative strength measurementAUM share and z-score

    Use flow as a percentage of assets under management and historical standardized scores to gauge abnormality

    The same absolute flow can mean different things across different asset pools, so the report combines %AUM and z-scores to judge whether flows are significant.

  • Trend smoothingFour-week moving average

    Reduce single-week noise to observe trends

    Multiple charts use four-week moving averages to show regional, sector, energy fund, and cross-border flows, avoiding overreaction to single-week extremes.

  • FX flow definitionCross-border fund flow convention

    Measure cross-border equity and fixed income flows using the fund domicile convention

    FX flows are defined as cross-border equity and fixed income fund flows, excluding hard-currency emerging-market bond funds and FX-hedged products; AUM is calculated at the fund domicile level.

Asset mapping & comparison

Structured mapping from thesis to named assets (strengths, weaknesses, peers, risks).

  • Energy funds
    Directly related to the commodity index and energy flow theme
    Strengths
    They saw strong inflows in early 2026 and showed either synchronous or leading behavior relative to the upward phase of the S&P GSCI.
    Weaknesses
    The latest weekly flow turned to an outflow of about USD 500m, cooling markedly from the prior peak.
    Comparison
    Compared with sectors such as technology and infrastructure that still show relatively strong net inflows, energy has weaker near-term flow momentum.
    Risks
    If commodity prices pull back or flows continue to leave the sector, energy equities may face position-reduction pressure.
  • Global equity funds
    One of the core asset classes in the report
    Strengths
    Both the weekly and four-week cumulative readings were net inflows, supported by strong demand in developed markets and the United States.
    Weaknesses
    Emerging-market equities saw large outflows, with strong divergence within the region.
    Comparison
    Equity fund inflows were weaker than the four-week cumulative scale of fixed income and money market flows, but the risk-appetite signal remains positive.
    Risks
    If emerging-market outflows broaden or U.S. inflows slow, overall equity fund flows may weaken.
  • Fixed income funds
    One of the core asset classes in the report
    Strengths
    Four-week cumulative inflows were about USD 92bn and weekly inflows were about USD 28.6bn, with broad bonds, government bonds, and short-duration bonds all supported.
    Weaknesses
    Long-duration bonds lagged relatively, suggesting investors remain cautious about interest-rate volatility.
    Comparison
    Fixed income weekly inflows were higher than equity fund inflows, reflecting more defensive allocation demand.
    Risks
    Changes in inflation and the interest-rate path could alter duration preferences.
  • Emerging-market equities
    An important drag in regional flow divergence
    Strengths
    Some markets, such as Brazil and South Korea, showed relatively strong flow momentum in several charts.
    Weaknesses
    Four-week cumulative flows were sharply negative, mainly dragged down by outflows from Mainland China equity funds.
    Comparison
    Clearly weaker than developed-market equities, especially weaker than U.S. and Japan-related inflows.
    Risks
    If Mainland China, India, and other markets continue to see outflows, overall emerging-market performance will be pressured.
  • FX flows
    A signal for cross-border risk appetite and currency allocation
    Strengths
    Both the four-week cumulative and weekly readings were positive, with notable contributions from G10 currencies, the U.S. dollar, the Japanese yen, and the Canadian dollar.
    Weaknesses
    Performance within Asia was mixed; KRW was negative on a four-week cumulative basis, and INR and TWD were weak in the latest weekly reading.
    Comparison
    G10 flows were clearly stronger than those for Asia, the Americas, EMEA, and Frontier markets.
    Risks
    If risk appetite fades or the dollar reverses direction, cross-border fund flows could swing quickly.

Key data

  • Global equity fund four-week cumulative inflow71.958bn USDAs of the week ended May 13, global equity funds recorded four-week cumulative net inflows of about USD 71.958bn, with weekly net inflows of about USD 20.458bn.
  • Global fixed income fund four-week cumulative inflow92.008bn USDFixed income recorded four-week cumulative net inflows of about USD 92.008bn, with weekly net inflows of about USD 28.55bn, making it one of the largest inflow asset classes that week.
  • Money market fund four-week cumulative inflow92.502bn USDMoney market funds recorded four-week cumulative net inflows of about USD 92.502bn, with assets increasing by about USD 5.756bn that week.
  • Emerging-market equity four-week cumulative outflow-53.511bn USDEmerging-market equity funds recorded four-week cumulative net outflows of about USD 53.511bn, of which Mainland China equity funds accounted for about USD 52.113bn.
  • Energy fund weekly flow-0.5bn USDEnergy funds recorded a weekly net outflow of about USD 500m, versus net inflows of about USD 4bn the prior week, indicating that momentum cooled after the prior strong inflow.
  • Four-week cumulative FX flow70.136bn USDFX flows totaled about USD 70.136bn over four weeks, with about USD 25.746bn in the latest week; G10 and the dollar contributed materially.
  • Developed-market contribution from U.S. equity funds68.543bn USDDeveloped-market equities recorded four-week cumulative net inflows of about USD 74.072bn, of which U.S.-related inflows accounted for about USD 68.543bn.
  • Energy flows and the S&P GSCIEarly-2026 energy fund flow peak: about USD 2.5-2.6bn four-week averageThe chart shows energy fund flows rose sharply to a peak in early 2026 and then clearly cooled, while the S&P GSCI remained elevated.

Impact & implications

From an investment perspective, fund flows still support broad risk appetite across equities, bonds, and FX, but this is not a blanket expansion in risk appetite; rather, it is tilted toward developed markets, the United States, Japan, fixed income, and selected high-momentum sectors. Energy-related assets are seeing flows weaken from prior strength, suggesting investors should watch for a divergence between still-elevated commodity prices and weakening flow momentum. Divergence within emerging markets is large, with continued outflows from Mainland China equity funds as the main pressure point, while markets such as South Korea and Brazil are stronger on certain metrics. Fixed income inflows remain resilient, especially in short-duration, government, broad bond, and inflation-protected segments, reflecting investors' continued attention to interest-rate and inflation risk management even as risk appetite improves.

Risks

  • This report is a fund-flow and thematic research piece; it is not a stock recommendation and does not distinguish the fundamentals of individual companies.
  • Fund-flow data may be affected by weekly subscriptions and redemptions, fund domicile conventions, index rebalancing, and FX-hedging methodology.
  • Energy fund flows have already retreated from their prior peak; if commodity indices remain elevated but flows continue to weaken, price and positioning momentum may diverge.
  • Emerging-market equity flows are highly concentrated in outflows from Mainland China, so a single regional factor can magnify the headline reading.
  • Some chart values are based on visual recognition and approximate reading; exact values should be confirmed against the original data tables.

What to watch

  • Whether energy funds continue to see outflows, and whether they begin to lead the S&P GSCI or other commodity indices lower.
  • Whether outflows from Mainland China equity funds ease, and whether their drag on global emerging-market equity flows diminishes.
  • Whether inflows into U.S. and Japan developed-market equity funds can continue.
  • Whether demand for short-duration, inflation-protected, government, and broad bond funds remains stronger than for long-duration bonds.
  • Whether G10- and dollar-related FX flows remain dominant, and whether Asian currency flows move from divergence to recovery.
  • Whether markets with stronger recent flow momentum, such as South Korea and Brazil, can sustain foreign inflows.
Zhejiang ICP No. 2022035445-5
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