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Goldman Sachs: Insta360 Expands Customer Base Through Innovation, Long-Term Growth Promising

Institution
Goldman Sachs
Date
20260519
Authors
Allen Chang, Verena Jeng, Yifan Hu
Company
Insta360
Ticker
688775
Industry
Information Technology Services, smartphone
Rating
Buy
BullishHigh confidenceInitiateLong-termThe report assigns a Buy rating with a 12-month target price of 311 yuan, implying 49.9% upside potential, highlighting long-term growth drivers
AuthorsAllen Chang, Verena Jeng, Yifan Hu
Target price311 yuan
CoverageChina
Research firm divisions/subsidiariesGoldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.(Subsidiary/Legal Entity)

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Goldman Sachs: Insta360 Expands Customer Base Through Innovation, Long-Term Growth Promising

Goldman Sachs believes Insta360 has strong long-term growth momentum due to continuous innovation, market leadership, and supply chain diversification, assigning a Buy rating with a target price of 311 yuan.

Buy|Target price 311 yuan
consumer electronicsinnovative productsmarket sharevaluationsupply chain
  • 66%/37% global share in 360/Action cameras
  • Launch of Snap selfie screen and Flow2 gimbal in 2026
  • 12-month target price of 311 yuan implies 49.9% upside
  • Supply chain diversification alleviates storage supply constraints
  • Rich accessories expand application scenarios

Report interpretation

Overview

This report is Goldman Sachs' summary of Insta360 following the Asia Communications Tech Conference. The core conclusion is that the company has positive long-term growth prospects due to continuous innovation, market leadership, and supply chain advantages. Based on management discussions, the report emphasizes its product migration capabilities, premium brand image, and R&D strength, with a target price of 311 yuan.

Core views

Innovation & Product Migration: Insta360 drives innovation by closely tracking user needs, launching the 7.3mm portable Snap selfie screen in March 2026 and upgrading the Flow2 smartphone gimbal with enhanced AI tracking in April to attract potential customers. Market Position & Brand: Achieved 66%/37% global share in 360/Action cameras in 2025, with R&D focused on product line expansion (e.g., 360 camera drones), in-house algorithms, and accessories to strengthen its premium brand image. Growth Drivers: Five long-term drivers include premium branding, strong R&D enhancing user experience, market leadership, accessory ecosystem expansion, and supply chain diversification easing storage supply pressure.

Analysis framework

Goldman Sachs employs a fundamental and valuation framework: first, obtaining qualitative insights from management on product innovation and market strategy; second, citing market share data (66%/37%) to validate industry position; finally, deriving the target price by discounting a 2030E 20x PE (COE 13.5%) to 2027 based on consumer electronics peer PEG&M correlations.

Methodology notes

  • valuation methodPE/PEG valuation

    Deriving target valuation multiples based on peer PEG&M correlations

    Comparing 2026E PE vs. 2027E net profit growth and operating margins among consumer electronics peers to justify a 2030E 20x PE, then discounting to present.

  • industry/segment analysis frameworkindustry concentration analysis

    Global market share data validates market position

    Citing 66%/37% 2025 shares in 360/Action cameras to demonstrate leadership and pricing power in niche segments.

Asset mapping & comparison

Structured mapping from thesis to named assets (strengths, weaknesses, peers, risks).

  • Insta360 (688775.SS)
    Direct beneficiary, covered entity
    Strengths
    Market leadership, R&D capabilities, supply chain diversification
    Weaknesses
    Dependence on accessory attach rate, storage supply risks
    Risks
    Intensified competition, slower shipment growth

Key data

  • 2025 global market share66% in 360 cameras, 37% in Action camerasValidates market leadership
  • 12-month target price311 yuanBased on 20x 2030E PE discounted
  • Current price207.45 yuanAs of May 19, 2026
  • Implied upside49.9%Target price vs. current price

Impact & implications

The report believes Insta360's innovation strategy and market position will sustain long-term growth, while supply chain diversification mitigates storage supply risks. For the industry, its accessory ecosystem expansion may popularize panoramic camera applications, though heightened competition could erode market share.

Risks

  • More intense competition than expected
  • Slower-than-expected Action & 360 camera shipment growth
  • Lower-than-expected accessory purchase rates

What to watch

  • Progress in new product lines (e.g., 360 camera drones)
  • Effectiveness of storage supply chain diversification
  • Changes in accessory sales mix
Zhejiang ICP No. 2022035445-5
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