BofA: Hong Kong roadshow focused on the AMD server chain and tight ABF/CCL supply
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BofA: Hong Kong roadshow focused on the AMD server chain and tight ABF/CCL supply
After discussions with about 30 investors in Hong Kong, BofA believes the market is mainly focused on beneficiaries of the AMD server supply chain, the match between valuations and earnings growth, hardware substrate/PCB/CCL ranking, and supply bottlenecks.
- The report summarizes key feedback from discussions with about 30 investors in Hong Kong from May 18 to 21.
- Investors were most focused on beneficiaries of the AMD server supply chain and stronger server CPU demand, with the report highlighting companies with high exposure such as Aspeed, MPI, TUC, Unimicron, NYPCB, and Kinsus.
- For test interface companies such as MPI and WinWay, the market is concerned that valuations are already high, but the authors emphasize that visibility for earnings delivery or upside surprises over the next several quarters to years may still support share prices.
- Within hardware subsectors, the authors are relatively more positive on ABF substrates and high-end CCL, believing their supply tightness will be more persistent; PCB, by contrast, faces pressure from a fragmented competitive landscape and CPO adoption.
- In PC fabless, the authors are relatively more positive on ASMedia than Parade, because Parade may not enter AMD camp-type ASIC supply chain business until 2H27 at the earliest.
Report interpretation
Overview
This is a Taiwan technology sector research report centered on investor feedback collected by BofA during its marketing trip in Hong Kong. The report focuses on beneficiaries of the AMD server supply chain, valuation versus earnings visibility for test interface companies, relative preferences among ABF substrates/PCB/CCL, supply shortage dynamics, and the relative view on PC fabless companies ASMedia and Parade.
Core views
The report's core views include: first, the AMD server supply chain and stronger server CPU demand are the areas investors care about most; second, although test interface companies face valuation concerns, their share prices may still benefit if they continue to meet or exceed earnings expectations; third, among hardware materials and board-related segments, ABF substrates and high-end CCL are more attractive than PCB; fourth, test interfaces and power semiconductors have longer lead times, indicating intensifying supply tightness; fifth, within PC fabless, the authors relatively prefer ASMedia over Parade.
Analysis framework
The report uses an investor roadshow feedback synthesis approach, classifying questions from about 30 investors by demand, valuation, supply tightness, subsector ranking, and supply chain entry timing, then combining this with exposure analysis of the Taiwan technology supply chain to identify potential beneficiaries.
Methodology notes
Summarizing roadshow Q&A into the market's top concerns
Based on exchanges with about 30 investors in Hong Kong from May 18 to 21, the report summarizes five core issue areas: server chain, valuations, hardware ranking, supply shortages, and PC fabless.
Finding beneficiary companies based on exposure to server controllers, probe cards, substrates, and materials
The authors specifically name Aspeed, MPI, TUC, Unimicron, NYPCB, and Kinsus because these companies have high relevance to the AMD server chain or stronger server CPU demand.
Identifying tighter segments through the persistence of supply shortages and product lead times
The report believes supply constraints are more evident in ABF substrates, high-end CCL, test interfaces, and power semiconductors, with test interfaces and power semiconductors highlighted in particular due to longer lead times.
Using future earnings delivery or upside surprises to assess whether high valuations can persist
For test interface companies such as MPI and WinWay, whose shares have performed strongly, the authors believe that even without further multiple re-rating, earnings visibility and the rolling valuation base may continue to act as catalysts for share prices.
Asset mapping & comparison
Structured mapping from thesis to named assets (strengths, weaknesses, peers, risks).
- AMD.US / ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES INCThe demand anchor of the report; investors are looking for beneficiaries around the AMD server supply chain and stronger server CPU demand.
- Strengths
- Stronger server CPU demand can drive demand for controllers, probe cards, substrates, and related material supply chains.
- Weaknesses
- The report does not directly provide AMD's own rating, target price, or earnings forecast.
- Comparison
- Compared with the PC fabless topic, the AMD server chain is the primary focus of investor questions.
- Risks
- If server CPU demand falls short of expectations, downstream supply chain order visibility may decline.
- AspeedListed as one of the beneficiaries of the AMD server supply chain, mainly corresponding to server controller exposure.
- Strengths
- Stronger server platform demand may bring higher business relevance and order visibility.
- Weaknesses
- The report does not provide specific earnings forecasts or valuation levels.
- Comparison
- Grouped with MPI, TUC, and substrate companies as higher-exposure beneficiaries.
- Risks
- Slower server demand or share shifts would weaken the beneficiary thesis.
- MPI / WinWayThese are test interface-related companies and a key focus of investor discussion on valuation versus earnings growth.
- Strengths
- The report believes visibility is strong for meeting or exceeding earnings expectations over the next several quarters to years.
- Weaknesses
- The stocks have performed strongly in recent years and undergone re-rating, increasing valuation concerns.
- Comparison
- Compared with PCB, test interfaces are also identified by the report as an area with more obvious supply shortages.
- Risks
- If earnings delivery is insufficient, share price support from the rolling valuation base may weaken.
- ABF substrates / Unimicron / NYPCB / KinsusThe report identifies substrate companies as a key beneficiary direction both in the AMD server chain and in hardware subsector ranking.
- Strengths
- Supply tightness in ABF substrates is more persistent, and some companies have high exposure to the server chain.
- Weaknesses
- The report does not quantify benefit elasticity for each company individually.
- Comparison
- The authors are relatively more positive on substrates than on PCB.
- Risks
- If supply shortages ease or server demand weakens, earnings elasticity may come in below expectations.
- CCL / TUCTUC is named as a beneficiary related to the AMD server chain, and high-end CCL is listed as a more preferred hardware direction.
- Strengths
- High-end CCL is experiencing more persistent supply tightness, which may bring better pricing and earnings visibility.
- Weaknesses
- The report does not provide detailed orders, capacity, or a financial model.
- Comparison
- Together with ABF substrates, it is one of the authors' more constructive directions and is preferred over PCB in the report.
- Risks
- Improved high-end CCL supply or slower customer demand would weaken the scarcity premium.
- PCBOne of the hardware subsectors discussed by investors when comparing ABF substrates, PCB, and CCL.
- Strengths
- It still falls within the scope of server and hardware supply chain discussions.
- Weaknesses
- The report believes the PCB competitive landscape is more fragmented and affected by CPO adoption.
- Comparison
- Compared with ABF substrates and high-end CCL, the authors are more cautious on PCB.
- Risks
- Faster CPO adoption could change the traditional PCB demand structure.
- ASMedia / ParadeWithin PC fabless, investors asked about preference between the two, and the report is relatively more positive on ASMedia.
- Strengths
- ASMedia has the higher relative preference, mainly because Parade would enter AMD camp-type ASIC supply chain business later.
- Weaknesses
- The report remains broadly conservative on PC fabless and does not provide a clear quantitative upward revision.
- Comparison
- ASMedia is preferred over Parade; Parade may not enter the relevant supply chain until 2H27 at the earliest.
- Risks
- PC demand, design-in timing, and progress in AMD camp business could all affect the judgment.
Key data
- Hong Kong marketing periodMay 18 to 21, 2026The report says marketing was conducted in Hong Kong during this period and investors were met.
- Number of investorsAbout 30This is the sample size for this round of feedback summary.
- Main text date clueMay 25, 2026The title page contains '25 May 2026'.
- Beneficiaries of the AMD server chainAspeed, MPI, TUC, Unimicron, NYPCB, KinsusThese companies were highlighted for their high exposure to server controllers, probe cards, substrates, or related materials.
- More preferred hardware subsectorsABF substrates and high-end CCLThe authors believe supply tightness or shortages in these areas will be more persistent.
- Relatively pressured hardware subsectorPCBThe main pressures come from a more fragmented competitive landscape and the impact of CPO adoption.
- Areas with more pronounced supply shortagesTest interfaces and power semiconductorsLonger lead times indicate tighter incremental supply.
- Relative PC fabless preferenceASMedia over ParadeThe authors believe Parade may not enter AMD camp-type ASIC supply chain business until 2H27 at the earliest.
Impact & implications
The report implies that companies in the Taiwan technology chain linked to AMD server CPU demand, ABF substrates, high-end CCL, test interfaces, and power semiconductors may benefit from demand visibility and supply tightness; however, re-rated names need continued earnings delivery to sustain performance. PCB and some PC fabless companies require more careful differentiation, as the competitive landscape, CPO substitution, and supply chain entry timing will affect the magnitude of benefit.
Risks
- Valuations have already risen alongside strong share price performance and re-rating over the past several years; if earnings cannot continue to meet or exceed expectations, share price catalysts may weaken.
- If stronger server CPU demand and spillover from the AMD supply chain come in below expectations, the degree of benefit for Aspeed, MPI, TUC, and substrate-related companies may decline.
- If supply tightness in ABF substrates, high-end CCL, test interfaces, and power semiconductors eases, pricing and earnings elasticity may come in below expectations.
- The PCB industry's competitive landscape is fragmented, and CPO adoption may weaken part of traditional PCB demand.
- There is uncertainty around the timing of Parade's entry into AMD camp-type ASIC supply chain business; the report believes the earliest timing is 2H27.
- The report is a summary of investor feedback and industry views, and does not provide a full financial model, target price, or single-stock ratings.
What to watch
- Changes in AMD server CPU demand and order visibility across the server supply chain.
- Subsequent earnings delivery from Aspeed, MPI, WinWay, Unimicron, NYPCB, Kinsus, TUC, and others.
- Lead times and incremental capacity for ABF substrates, high-end CCL, test interfaces, and power semiconductors.
- The pace of CPO adoption and its impact on PCB demand structure.
- Design-in progress of ASMedia and Parade in PC fabless and AMD camp-related business.
- Whether share prices can still be driven by earnings upgrades after the valuation base rolls forward.