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US fund flows re-accelerate, with global equity and bond funds both recording net inflows

Institution
Goldman Sachs
Date
2026-07-31
Authors
Lexi Kanter, Michael Cahill, Karen Reichgott Fishman, Stuart Jenkins
Company
-
Ticker
-
Industry
Information Technology Services
Rating
-
NeutralLow confidenceThe report shows that global equity and fixed income funds both maintained net inflows. US funds drove the return of capital to developed-market equities, cross-border inflows into the US re-accelerated, and net demand for the USD, KRW, and GBP was relatively strong. The main risk comes from further market skepticism about the returns on AI investment.
AuthorsLexi Kanter, Michael Cahill, Karen Reichgott Fishman, Stuart Jenkins
CoverageEmerging Markets、Europe、Other
Asset classesFixed Income、FX
Business segmentsEquity funds、Fixed income funds、Money market funds、FX flows、Technology funds、Energy funds
Research firm divisions/subsidiariesGoldman Sachs(Other)

AI summary card

US fund flows re-accelerate, with global equity and bond funds both recording net inflows

Goldman's weekly fund flow report shows that global equity funds recorded approximately $64 billion in net inflows in the week ending July 29, while fixed income funds also received inflows. Cross-border inflows into the US re-accelerated after stagnating in the first half of 2025.

This report focuses on macroeconomic conditions and fund flows and does not provide individual stock ratings, target prices, or expected upside.
Global fund flowsUS assetsEquity fundsFixed income fundsUSDAI theme
  • Global equity fund net inflows expanded from approximately $30 billion in the prior week to approximately $64 billion, with US funds serving as the main driver of developed-market net inflows.
  • Overall flows into fixed income funds remained solid, but hard-currency and local-currency emerging-market bond funds recorded net outflows.
  • Technology funds continued to receive the largest net inflows, while energy funds recorded the largest net outflows, indicating that sector fund preferences remain concentrated in AI-related assets.
  • Cross-border FX fund flows were positive overall, with the strongest net demand for the USD, KRW, and GBP; cross-border inflows into the US re-accelerated after stagnating in the first half of 2025.

Report interpretation

Overview

This report tracks global fund flows for the week ending July 29, 2026. Flows related to equities, fixed income, and cross-border FX were broadly positive, with the renewed attractiveness of US assets serving as the central theme. The report argues that the AI boom since the beginning of the year has increased the relative attractiveness of US assets, eased calls from investors to diversify away from US assets, and supported the view that the USD may strengthen moderately.

Core views

The core view is that fund flows into global risk assets remain resilient, with US equity funds in particular driving the renewed acceleration in developed-market net inflows. Fixed income funds also maintained healthy inflows, although flows into emerging-market bonds were mixed and relatively weak. At the sector level, technology funds continued to record the strongest net inflows, while energy funds faced pressure. In FX, improved cross-border inflows into the US were consistent with stronger net demand for the USD.

Analysis framework

The report uses weekly fund flow data to compare one-week changes, four-week totals, and flows as a percentage of AUM across global equity, fixed income, money market, and cross-border FX funds. It further breaks down flows by developed markets, emerging markets, regions, countries, and sector-specific funds to assess changes in asset allocation preferences.

Methodology notes

  • Fund flow monitoringWeekly global fund flow tracking

    Net inflows and four-week cumulative inflows

    The intensity of capital allocation across different asset classes and regions is measured through one-week net inflows, four-week cumulative net inflows, and flows as a percentage of AUM.

  • FX fund flowsCross-border fund flow methodology

    FX Flows

    The report defines FX flows as cross-border equity and fixed income fund flows based on fund domicile, excluding hard-currency emerging-market bond funds and FX-hedged products.

Asset mapping & comparison

Structured mapping from thesis to named assets (strengths, weaknesses, peers, risks).

  • US equity funds
    Directly benefit from the renewed acceleration in US fund flows
    Strengths
    Net inflows into developed-market equities were driven primarily by US funds, while cross-border inflows into the US also improved again.
    Weaknesses
    The improvement in fund flows depends partly on enthusiasm for the AI theme, and a cooling of the theme could weaken its sustainability.
    Comparison
    US funds outperformed European funds, which recorded net outflows.
    Risks
    Questions about AI investment returns, renewed investor demand for diversification, and USD volatility.
  • Technology funds
    The sector fund most favored by investors
    Strengths
    Continued to record the largest sector-level net inflows, supported by the attractiveness of AI-related assets.
    Weaknesses
    Valuation and earnings-delivery pressures may increase.
    Comparison
    Significantly outperformed energy funds, which recorded the largest net outflows.
    Risks
    AI investment returns falling short of expectations, crowded technology trades, and declining risk appetite.
  • Fixed income funds
    Received stable support overall
    Strengths
    Global fixed income funds maintained net inflows, while short-duration and inflation-protected bond funds continued to be favored.
    Weaknesses
    Hard-currency and local-currency emerging-market bond funds recorded net outflows.
    Comparison
    Overall fixed income flows were positive, but EM bond subcategories were weaker than global fixed income flows overall.
    Risks
    Interest-rate volatility, changes in the inflation path, and emerging-market credit and currency pressures.
  • USD
    Supported by improved cross-border inflows into the US
    Strengths
    Cross-border fund flows were positive overall, and net demand for the USD ranked among the strongest.
    Weaknesses
    Expectations for USD appreciation remain moderate rather than reflecting a one-way bullish view.
    Comparison
    Alongside the KRW and GBP, it was among the currencies with the strongest net demand.
    Risks
    Concerns about AI investment returns, declining US asset attractiveness, and renewed investor diversification.
  • Energy funds
    Sector facing fund flow pressure
    Strengths
    The report did not identify any clear positive factors.
    Weaknesses
    Recorded the largest sector-level net outflows.
    Comparison
    Significantly underperformed technology funds.
    Risks
    Energy price volatility, declining sector risk appetite, and continued flows toward growth and AI themes.

Key data

  • Global equity fund net inflows+$63.709bnFor the week ending July 29; the four-week total was +$206.245bn. The report describes this as approximately +$64bn in the main text, compared with +$30bn in the prior week.
  • Global fixed income fund net inflows+$12.428bnFor the week ending July 29; the four-week total was +$78.817bn, with continued inflows into short-duration bond funds and inflation-protected bond funds.
  • Emerging-market fixed income fund net inflows-$243mnFor the week ending July 29; the four-week total was +$2.137bn, with both hard-currency and local-currency bond funds recording net outflows.
  • Money market fund asset change+$5.005bnFor the week ending July 29; the four-week total was -$108.927bn.
  • Cross-border FX fund flows+$18.856bnFor the week ending July 29; the four-week total was +$86.990bn, excluding hard-currency and FX-hedged funds.
  • Sector fund flow directionTechnology funds had the largest net inflows, while energy funds had the largest net outflowsThe report did not disclose specific amounts.

Impact & implications

The renewed shift in fund flows toward US assets and technology funds reinforces the narrative of stronger relative US attractiveness and moderate USD appreciation. However, more serious questions about the returns on AI investment could reduce enthusiasm for allocating to US assets and revive pressure for diversification.

Risks

  • Serious questions about the returns on AI investment could become a major risk to expectations for moderate USD appreciation.
  • Net outflows from European equity funds indicate that regional fund flow divergence persists.
  • Net outflows from hard-currency and local-currency emerging-market bond funds point to weakness in EM fixed income.
  • Continued concentration of inflows into technology funds could create crowded-trade risks.
  • Goldman Sachs discloses that the research is based on public information it considers reliable but does not guarantee its accuracy or completeness; its views and forecasts may change.

What to watch

  • Whether weekly inflows into US equity funds and cross-border inflows continue to re-accelerate.
  • Whether debate over the returns on AI-related investment affects fund flows into US assets and technology funds.
  • Whether net demand for the USD, KRW, and GBP can continue.
  • Whether European equity funds continue to record net outflows.
  • Whether hard-currency and local-currency emerging-market bond funds recover from net outflows.
  • Whether changes in money market fund assets shift from a one-week inflow to sustained inflows.
Zhejiang ICP No. 2022035445-5
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