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Computex 2026: AI Server Architecture Upgrades Accelerate, Power/Cooling/Interconnect Become Key Bottlenecks and Opportunities

Institution
Morgan Stanley
Date
20260607
Authors
Howard Kao, Sharon Shih, Derrick Yang
Company
-
Ticker
-
Industry
AI, 5G, AI PC, Information Technology Services, Computer Hardware
Rating
NeutralMedium confidenceMedium-termThe report is essentially a conference summary, focusing on technological progress and supply-chain dynamics; it offers no explicit sector rating or price target, only mentioning an 'In-Line' (neutral) view in the sector coverage section.
AuthorsHoward Kao, Sharon Shih, Derrick Yang
CoverageOther
Research firm divisions/subsidiariesMorgan Stanley Taiwan Limited(Subsidiary/Legal Entity)

AI summary card

Computex 2026: AI Server Architecture Upgrades Accelerate, Power/Cooling/Interconnect Become Key Bottlenecks and Opportunities

Morgan Stanley distills the key takeaways from Computex 2026, noting that NVIDIA’s Vera Rubin platform is driving a full-stack upgrade of AI servers—from chips and racks to power and cooling—while RTX Spark PC has limited near-term impact, creating structural opportunities for power-supply, liquid-cooling, high-speed interconnect, and mechanical-component vendors.

AI serverNVIDIA Vera Rubin800V DCliquid coolingRTX SparkComputex
  • NVIDIA Vera Rubin POD is taking shape: every 8 NVL72 GPU racks are paired with 1 Vera CPU rack, 1 STX storage rack, and 5 Groq LPX compute racks
  • 800V DC power system rolls out in phases: rack-ready in 3Q26, 1.6 MW center in 2Q27, 4.8 MW modular power block in 1Q28
  • Liquid cooling adoption accelerates: Vera Rubin liquid-cooling solution mass production starts 3Q26; micro-channel lid (MCL) still early-stage, with yield and reliability as main hurdles
  • RTX Spark PC positioned as an ‘AI agent’ but high price ($3K+) and niche demand limit first-year shipments to 5–10 million units, unlikely to offset PC market weakness
  • Supply-chain segments such as power interconnect (FIT), network switching (Accton), mechanical structures (Chenbro, King Slide), and data interconnect (Bizlink) stand to benefit

Report interpretation

Overview

This report is Morgan Stanley’s in-depth summary of the 2026 Taipei Computex, focusing on the evolution of AI-infrastructure hardware. The core conclusion is that next-generation AI servers, represented by the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform, are migrating from single-chip to rack-level co-design, driving simultaneous upgrades in power, cooling, interconnect, and structural subsystems; RTX Spark PC, despite its revolutionary vision, is constrained by price and ecosystem and is unlikely to become a near-term growth engine for the PC market.

Core views

The report argues that AI servers have entered a new ‘Rack-as-a-Platform’ phase, with the NVIDIA Vera Rubin POD epitomizing this trend—it is not a single product but a standardized combination of GPU racks (NVL72), CPU racks (Vera), storage racks (STX), and compute racks (LPX), requiring the supply chain to leap from component-level to rack-level delivery capability. On key subsystems, the report highlights three core advances: (1) 800 V high-voltage DC (HVDC) power is being rapidly deployed, with NVIDIA outlining a clear three-stage roadmap (3Q26 rack → 2Q27 center → 1Q28 module); vendors such as Delta are already showcasing solid-state transformers (SST) and fuel-cell solutions. (2) Liquid cooling has become a hard requirement; the Vera Rubin liquid-cooling solution is expected to reach mass production in 3Q26, while the more advanced micro-channel lid (MCL) faces industrialization challenges around yield, leakage, and long-term reliability. (3) High-speed interconnect technologies are diversifying, including optical wavelength-selective (OWS) switching, CPO architectures, and Micro-LED optical modules, migrating from optical modules toward CPO architectures. Regarding RTX Spark PC, the report is cautious. Although it integrates Grace CPU, Blackwell GPU, and unified memory with a long-term vision of a ‘24/7 home AI agent’, its $3,000-plus price, initial targeting of AI professionals, and substitutability with Mac Mini limit first-year shipments to an estimated 5–10 million units—insufficient to offset overall PC market headwinds.

Analysis framework

The report employs a typical ‘technology-driven supply-chain framework’: it first anchors on the core platform (NVIDIA Vera Rubin POD), decomposes it into four functional racks (GPU, CPU, storage, compute) and quantifies their ratio (8:1:1:5) to identify incremental opportunities; second, around the central conflict of soaring AI-server power density, it systematically maps the evolution roadmap and commercial milestones of the three bottleneck technologies—power (800 V HVDC), cooling (liquid cooling → MCL), and interconnect (OWS/CPO/Micro-LED); finally, combining booth-level details and executive interviews (e.g., Foxconn chairman Brand Cheng on mass-production timelines), it translates macro technology trends into micro-level firm orders and capacity schedules, completing the full chain from ‘what’ to ‘who’ and ‘when’.

Methodology notes

  • Industry/sector analysis frameworkSupply-demand framework

    The sector is driven primarily by supply-side technology iteration and capacity-release cadence

    Rather than relying on end-demand forecasts, the report tracks technology standards defined by platform vendors such as NVIDIA (e.g., Vera Rubin POD specs) and mass-production schedules of supply-chain vendors (e.g., 3Q26 liquid-cooling mass production) to determine the inflection point and sustainability of the industry cycle

  • Industry/sector analysis frameworkUpstream-midstream-downstream transmission

    Technology standards are defined upstream and transmitted level by level to midstream modules and downstream structural parts

    The report clearly presents the vertical transmission chain: ‘NVIDIA defines POD → Foxconn/Quanta build racks → FIT supplies connectors/power-power → Chenbro/King Slide supply structural parts’, showing that value is shifting from chips to entire racks and supporting components

  • Cycle & cyclical frameworkInflection-point analysis

    Key equipment mass-production dates serve as inflection-point markers

    The report treats concrete milestones such as ‘800 V DC rack-ready 3Q26’ and ‘Vera Rubin liquid-cooling mass production 3Q26’ as the core evidence for judging when the industry enters an acceleration phase, rather than vague ‘positive trend’ statements

Asset mapping & comparison

Structured mapping from thesis to named assets (strengths, weaknesses, peers, risks).

  • FIT Hon Teng Ltd (6088.HK)
    Core interconnect and power-solution supplier for the Vera Rubin platform, leading new quick-disconnect (QD) and liquid-cooling busbar designs
    Strengths
    Designated by NVIDIA as the lead designer for Rubin Ultra’s new QD, poised to disrupt the existing QD competitive landscape; liquid-cooling busbar ASP of US$3,000–4,000 with high share-gain certainty
    Weaknesses
    New Voronoi connector not yet finalized; pre-mass-production challenges remain around pogo-pin yield and cost optimization
    Comparison
    Together with Danfoss, one of two main players in the QD market, but holds first-mover advantage in next-gen designs
    Risks
    Voronoi connector industrialization falls short of expectations; final 800 V DC standard is unified by OCP consortium, potentially weakening its customized pricing power
  • Accton Technology Corporation (2399.TW)
    AI-cluster network-switching solution provider, showcasing OWS optical switching and CPO switches
    Strengths
    Possesses optical engines (subsidiary InLC) and rack-level integration capability (Edgecore Open Fabric), enabling full-stack offerings
    Weaknesses
    Initial rack-level business may dilute gross margin; must offset via high-value-add modules such as self-developed NICs and liquid cooling
    Comparison
    Compared with pure component vendors, its rack-level solution better matches end-customer ‘one-stop procurement’ trends
    Risks
    Commercial deployment of optical switching slower than expected; direct competition with NVIDIA and Broadcom in the CPO space
  • Chenbro (6213.TW)
    AI-server chassis and full-rack solution supplier, displaying a full range of MGX-architecture chassis and VR NVL72-compatible racks
    Strengths
    Actively expanding AI-related racks (IT/CDU/power), with a new Malaysia plant starting production 3Q26 to strengthen global responsiveness
    Weaknesses
    Rack business still in ramp-up; project wins and profitability yet to be proven
    Comparison
    Compared with traditional chassis vendors, its dual-platform layout on NVIDIA MGX/AMD Helios offers greater flexibility
    Risks
    AI-server demand volatility leads to lower-than-expected rack orders; new capacity ramps slower than planned
  • Bizlink (3660.TW)
    Core supplier of AI-server power and data interconnect, covering power cables, DAC/AOC, and CPO shuffle boxes
    Strengths
    Post-acquisition of XFS, enhanced fiber assembly and shuffle-box capability; CPO shuffle box expected to ramp from 2027
    Weaknesses
    Emerging businesses (LEO satellites, robotics) currently contribute little, unlikely to form a second growth curve in the near term
    Comparison
    Maintains a solid share in AI-server power cables; shuffle box is the key entry point into the CPO ecosystem
    Risks
    Shuffle-box technology qualification cycle long; overall CPO adoption ramps slower than expected

Key data

  • Vera Rubin POD rack ratio8 NVL72 GPU racks : 1 Vera CPU rack : 1 STX storage rack : 5 Groq LPX compute racksBased on official NVIDIA architecture, constituting the minimum deliverable unit of an AI server
  • 800V DC deployment timeline3Q26 (rack), 2Q27 (1.6 MW center), 1Q28 (4.8 MW module)Technology roadmap unveiled at NVIDIA GTC Taipei, marking the upgrade of AI data-center power systems
  • RTX Spark PC first-year shipment forecast5–10 million unitsDerived from an N1X chip run-rate of 200–250 k units per quarter, far below traditional annual PC volumes
  • Vera Rubin liquid-cooling value per GPU tray~US$2,500Covers cold-plate modules, inner manifolds, and NVQD core parts, reflecting the high added value of cooling upgrades

Impact & implications

For the supply chain, this round of upgrades means the value center is migrating from traditional PC/server ODM toward high-barrier, highly customized AI-infrastructure segments. Power-solution vendors (e.g., FIT), network-switch vendors (e.g., Accton), precision-structure firms (e.g., Chenbro, King Slide), and high-speed-interconnect suppliers (e.g., Bizlink) will directly benefit from growing rack-level demand and rising technical thresholds. Investors should focus on each segment’s actual share within the Vera Rubin platform, the delivery of mass-production schedules, and the industrialization breakthrough cadence of new technologies (e.g., MCL, Micro-LED).

Risks

  • Kyber rack platform fails to reach mass production for Rubin Ultra, delaying the next-gen AI-server upgrade cycle
  • 800 V DC power standard fails to converge (e.g., OCP push stalls), creating equipment compatibility risks and redundant investment
  • Micro-channel lid (MCL) industrialization progresses slowly; yield and reliability issues continue to constrain high-end AI-chip cooling solutions

What to watch

  • Delivery of Vera CPU and Groq LPX rack mass-production schedules in 3Q26/4Q26
  • Actual adoption scale of NVIDIA BlueField-4 STX storage racks among AI customers
  • FIT’s new Voronoi connector and NVIDIA Rubin Ultra new QD design finalization and mass-production timeline
Zhejiang ICP No. 2022035445-5
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